With my first site, well it wasnt really a site.. is was more of a home page with just a forum attached. I did quite well just launching the forum straight off without any traffic. I reached 50 members the first month and im going to reach 100 soon ater this month. I am getting around 3 sign-ups a day. Although i find the main problem is finding active posters. Out of my 80 or so members at the moment id say 10 are extremely active with about 20 or so popping from time to time, so really every 3/8 people logs in regularly. Which im happy with for now.
In my opinion you should have no problem getting your forum started since you definetely get more traffic then me and im doing just fine.
I have compared myself to other forums like mine and the most popular has 600k members, but only 2.5k active. So im quite happy with my figures.
The question does come down to, is there enough discussion on your topic for people to want to post things up? are people going to use this forum to help them? I joined a forum not long ago that had no specific topic and was just based on anything general and that had over 200 members, but in the end alot of people didnt see the point they didnt want a social experience they want something else out of it (like help, ideas, info)
Take Website Babble as an example, we're all hear because we either:
a) want to share ideas
b) want help
c) have social discussion (the least of the 3)
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